How safe is cycling? – stats on cycle casualties

November was a bad month for cycle casualties, with several tragic accidents reported in the press.

These are some statistics produced by the Department of Transport for road traffic accidents, which helps give a perspective on the dangers of cycling on British roads. (Source: Sept 2013 D o T)

Fatal Accidents

Fatal accidents have been falling in the past few decades. In 2012, 118 cyclists were killed. This was higher than in 2011 when fatalities fell to 107. However, it is significantly lower than early 1980s, when it reached a peak of 350. This compares to:

  • 420 pedestrian fatalities
  • 328 motorcycle fatalities
  • 801 car occupant fatalities.

2013-fatal-accidents

Fatalities and serious accidents

If we include all serious accidents in addition to fatalities, there has been a stronger upward trend since 2003.

2013-ksi-uk

Cycle accidents per miles cycled

If we look at cycle casualties per billion miles cycled, the situation looks less promising. There was a significant improvement in cycle rates in the 1980s. But, the increase in cycle rates since late 1990s appears not to have caused the hoped for ‘safety in numbers’ we might expect. This shows that cycle casualties per bn miles cycled is increasing in the past decade.

2013-cycle-casualties-per-bn-km

 

Relative risk of different forms of transport – Cycling vs Car vs Pedestrian vs Motorbike

These statistics show casualties per billion km travelled. They produce a slightly skewed figure in that car drivers will clock up many miles on motorways, which tend to have much lower accident rates per miles travelled, compared to rural and urban areas. Nevertheless, it still shows how much safer car journeys are compared to cycling or walking. Which is to be expected. In a car you are protected by crumple zones and a block of steel. Walking and cycling, you are not.

Casualties compared

2013-casualties-per-mode-transport

Fatalities by mode of transport

Using fatalities, pedestrians have a slightly worse risk than cyclists.

2013-fatalities-per-mode

Casualties per mode of transport since 2001

killed-road-type

Fatalties by mode of transport

death-rates-transport-train

If we include rail, bus and vans, the fatality rates per bn miles travelled is even lower.

per billion passenger Km.

2008
Motorcycle88.8
Walking30.9
Bicycle24.2
Car1.9
Van0.5
Bus or coach0.1
Rail0.3
Water0.9

Cycle fatalities in context

When examining cycle fatalities, a different perspective is to consider the main causes of death in the UK.

The Five big killers – heart disease, stroke, cancer, lung and liver disease – account for more than 150,000 deaths a year among under-75s in England alone and the Department of Health estimates 30,000 of these are entirely avoidable. (BBC)

In 2007, 70,000 died of heart disease. The number of people who died using a ladder was 50. Cycling is not the most dangerous sport

Against the dangers of cycling can be put the health benefits of getting decent aerobic exercise. Travelling every where in a car may protect you from accidents, but if you become unhealthy you are at risk from the ‘silent killers’ of heart disease e.t.c

deaths-cyclists-chd

Perceptions about the dangers of cycling deter many from cycling. But, in perspective, mortality rates from cycling are much lower than the ‘silent killers’ , such as heart disease.

UK Deaths in 2003

  • All Cyclists – 113
  • All road users – 3,471
  • Cancer due to inactivity – 28,016
  • CHD / Stroke due to inactivity – 57,322

From: Cycling and health

Conclusion – How safe is cycling?

Cycle fatalities tend to make headline news – making the dangers of cycling more prominent in people’s mind. It is worth bearing in mind, that it is also dangerous being a pedestrian walking the streets. Four times as many pedestrians are victims of road fatalities than cyclists.

In the post war period there has been a significant improvement in reducing road traffic accidents. However, although cycling and pedestrians have received some benefit, they are now seriously lagging behind motor car safety rates. Also, there is a worrying trend that improvements in the past two decades are being reversed. The doubly unfortunate thing is that the increase in cycle rates in the past few years do not seem to be leading to improved cycle safety, we may have hoped for.

2013-cycling-death-rates

Countries, such as Germany and the Netherlands have shown that cycle use can be made much safer than in the UK. Unfortunately, sometimes the response to cycling fatalities in the UK is the desire to see cyclists removed from the streets, rather than making the roads safer.

How to improve cycle fatality rates?

One thing that may help is to combine the desire for safety roads as a dual effort to improve for safety for cyclists and pedestrians. Many people don’t cycle, but most people do walk. However, irritating cyclist on the pavement may be, they are not the cause of pedestrian fatalities (with the odd exceptions). Pedestrian and cyclist have more in common than many would believe Lower speed limits in town, cracking down on drivers who use mobiles e.t.c, better road planning can help more than just cyclists.

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15 Responses to How safe is cycling? – stats on cycle casualties

  1. Tim December 4, 2013 at 1:06 pm #

    Cycling is incredibly safe. I promise you I could cycle around a park all day every day for a long time without coming to any great harm. Similarly cycling in the Netherlands is much safer than it is here. This article is about “How safe is cycling on Britain’s roads?” which is a very different subject. Perhaps a rather pedantic distinction, but I think it’s wise to be mindful of where the danger is coming from – whether we’re talking about the safety of cyclists, pedestrians motorcyclists or drivers. In the overwhelming majority of cases the damage is done by motor vehicles.

    Of course you’re right that statistically cycling, even here, is relatively safe (although I would point out that this is skewed by the fact that cyclists, unlike walkers or drivers, are a self-selected demographic consisting generally of younger fitter more confident travelers – lets get the kids and grannies out cycling on dual carriageways and then ask how safe it is?).

    But while every individual untimely death is a tragedy, surely it’s the subjective safety which is the bigger issue? The thousands who want to cycle but find it too scary, generally from personal experience or observation – not media reports or statistical evidence.

    Considering the huge external costs of motoring, especially when so many car journeys are so short, making safe space for cycling as the Netherlands have done, would not just have the benefit of saving lives previously lost in “accidents”, but would also get a lot more people on their bikes in the first place, helping avoid the silent killers you refer to.

    • tejvan December 4, 2013 at 1:07 pm #

      Thanks for comment Tim. All makes good sense. Thanks also for letting me know about problems with comments.

  2. Mark Lynch December 17, 2014 at 2:38 pm #

    Some really informative content here, can be difficult to find up to date statistics for this.

  3. Brian November 9, 2015 at 7:29 am #

    I’m thinking of kick scooters because you can use them on sidewalks. It will be interesting to see how kick scooter safety compare to pedestrian and cyclist safety. You can get those that have fat tires to prevent them from getting stuck in potholes. The main concerns are driveways and intersections especially when vehicles turn right next to you. Wide roads can be scary. Slowing down when crossing might help.

    The studies should say whether the pedestrian or driver was at fault and how they were hit. There has to be some way of avoiding pedestrian-driver conflict like upgrading traffic lights. When the walking man sign is on, parallel traffic light is green. If the driver didn’t see the pedestrian, it’s so dangerous when making a turn.

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